UFC 294 Betting Insights: Predictions and Analysis

19.10.2023
UFC 294 Betting Insights: Predictions and Analysis

UFC 294 had some big surprises. Originally, there was a rematch for the lightweight title between Islam Makhachev and Charles Oliveira. But Oliveira got injured and couldn’t fight. So, featherweight champ Alexander Volkanovski stepped in to face Makhachev.

In the co-main event, Khamzat Chimaev was supposed to fight Paulo Costa, but Costa had surgery, so Kamaru Usman took his place.

The fights are happening at the exciting Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, and these changes have made UFC 294 even more thrilling. If you’re looking for some valuable betting tips to enhance your experience, be sure to check Betdiesel.

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Main event contenders

Both fighters exemplify the spirit of true champions. Just as their first encounter concluded UFC 284 earlier this year in an exhilarating fashion, the rematch at UFC 294 in Abu Dhabi promises to deliver the same level of excitement.

Makhachev form

Islam Makhachev boasts an impressive record of 24 wins and only 1 loss, showcasing his dominance in the lightweight division. His striking skills are a significant part of his success. While he doesn’t throw a high volume of strikes, he demonstrates high accuracy. Furthermore, his defensive skills are top-notch, with a over 50% rate of evading his opponent’s attacks, making him a tough puzzle to crack in stand-up fights.

But where Makhachev truly excels is in his grappling abilities. He averages about 3.24 takedowns every 15 minutes with remarkable accuracy, giving him control over the fight’s location. His outstanding takedown defense places him among the best in the UFC, enabling him to choose whether to keep the fight standing or take it to the ground as he sees fit. His recent victory over Alexander Volkanovski underscores his psychological advantage heading into this rematch.

Volkanovski form

Volkanovski’s decision to accept a high-stakes fight on such short notice demonstrates his remarkable dedication, strong work ethic, and self-confidence. Additionally, the lightweight champion deserves immense credit for agreeing to a rematch with the skilled featherweight champion, even in challenging circumstances.

With a record of 26W-2L, Volkanovski has consistently established himself as a top contender in his division. His striking skills are truly remarkable, as he lands an impressive number of strikes per minute, putting constant pressure on his opponents.

In the realm of grappling, Volkanovski demonstrates competence, though not at the same level as his opponent. However, his takedown accuracy may pose challenges, particularly against an opponent with Makhachev’s defensive skills.

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Prediction & odds

In the betting odds for UFC 294, Islam Makhachev stands as the favorite with a 2/5 line, indicating that bookmakers view him as the frontrunner to win. In contrast, Alexander Volkanovski is the underdog at 2/1, offering a potentially higher payout for those who believe in his ability to secure an upset victory.

Considering the stats and their previous fight, this match appears to be a close one. Makhachev’s grappling skills provide him with an advantage, and given his previous win over Volkanovski, it’s challenging to envision Volkanovski defeating him. Therefore, our prediction for the winner is Islam Makhachev.